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Chance and probability · Usually met around P3

Experiments and their results

Tally in fives; more tries come closer to expected.

How to do it

Method

Tally in fives; more tries come closer to expected

Two fives and 3 marks: 5 + 5 + 3 = 13

Another way

Expected first

4 results, 20 tries: about 5 each

In full

In an experiment, each time you get a result, make a mark in its row of the table, in fives (four upright, the fifth across), and count them in fives. To read the results: the rows added together are how many times you tried; the biggest number is the result that came most often. Results needn't match what you expect exactly: 20 coin tosses should give about 10 heads, but 8 or 12 can happen. The more times you try, the closer each result's share usually gets to what you expect. Or work out the expected numbers first: 4 equally likely results over 20 tries give each about 20 ÷ 4 = 5.

Worked examples

Have a go first, then open each one for the answer and the working.

  1. Example 1

    Chi-keung tossed a coin and recorded the results in the table. How many times did Chi-keung toss it?

    Show the answer and working

    Answer: 27

    Every toss gives one result: 19 heads and 8 tails make 27.

  2. Example 2

    May spins a spinner and keeps a tally of the results. How many times did it land on blue 🔵?

    Show the answer and working

    Answer: 13

    Count the blue row's marks: each group of five is 5, plus the marks left over: 13.

  3. Example 3

    Tsz-ching took balls from a bag, putting each one back, and recorded the results. Which colour came up most often?

    • A. Yellow 🟡
    • B. Red 🔴
    • C. Blue 🔵
    • D. Green 🟢

    Choose the right answer

    Show the answer and working

    Answer: D. Green 🟢

    Compare: red 5, blue 10, yellow 11, green 12; the biggest came up most often.

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