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Data and probability · Ages 14–15

What a probability means worksheet

Part of: Probability

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What a probability means worksheet

Data and probability · Ages 14–15

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Write each answer in the space. For word problems, show your working and write a sentence answer.

Part A: Working out and filling in (2 marks each)

  1. 1.P(A) = 712, so P(not A) = .

    Answer in simplest form

    Answer:

  2. 2.Tsz-hin tosses a drawing pin 28 times, and it lands point up 5 times. The experimental probability of point up is .

    Answer in simplest form

    Answer:

  3. 3.P(A) = 57, so P(not A) = .

    Answer in simplest form

    Answer:

  4. 4.A mobile game player records 55 card draws, 15 of them rare cards. The experimental probability of a rare card is , and of not getting one .

    Fill in each blank

    Answer:

  5. 5.A fair die is rolled 108 times. A 1 should come up about times.

    Answer:

  6. 6.A fair die is rolled 216 times. A 4 should come up about times.

    Answer:

  7. 7.A mobile game player records 112 card draws, 28 of them rare cards. The experimental probability of a rare card is , and of not getting one .

    Fill in each blank

    Answer:

  8. 8.Tomorrow will be exactly one of sunny, cloudy or rainy. The probability of sunny is 12 and of cloudy 15. The probability of rainy is .

    Answer in simplest form

    Answer:

  9. 9.Tomorrow will be exactly one of sunny, cloudy or rainy. The probability of sunny is 18 and of cloudy 13. The probability of rainy is .

    Answer in simplest form

    Answer:

Part B: Choose, or true or false (2 marks each)

  1. 10.Which of these can't be the probability of an event?

    • A. 107
    • B. 78
    • C. 0
    • D. 1

    Choose the right answer

    Answer:

  2. 11.P(A) = 18, so P(not A) = 78.

    True or false?

    Answer:

  3. 12.Tsz-ching tosses a fair coin 40 times and gets 19 heads. Which statement is right?

    • A. The theoretical probability of heads is 1940
    • B. Further tosses will make up for it, so heads end at exactly half
    • C. The experimental probability of heads is 1940; the theoretical one is still 12
    • D. The coin can't be fair

    Choose the right answer

    Answer:

Part C: Word problems (4 marks each)

  1. 13.Ming rolls a fair die 60 times and gets a 1 on 12 of them. In this experiment, the experimental probability of a 1 is greater than the theoretical one.

    True or false?

    Working:

    Answer:

  2. 14.A café records 120 customers, 40 of whom order milk tea. From this, the probability the next one orders it is about ; with 480 customers expected tomorrow, about will order milk tea.

    Fill in each blank

    Working:

    Answer:

  3. 15.Ka-lok rolls a fair die 150 times and gets a 6 on 21 of them. The experimental probability of a 6 is , and the theoretical one .

    Fill in each blank

    Working:

    Answer:

  4. 16.A factory checks 100 toys and finds 14 faulty. Today it made 800. About how many are faulty?

    Working:

    Answer:

  5. 17.The weather forecast gives a 10% chance of rain tomorrow. What is the probability of no rain, as a fraction in its simplest form?

    Answer in simplest form

    Working:

    Answer:

  6. 18.A factory checks 200 toys and finds 11 faulty. Today it made 400. About how many are faulty?

    Working:

    Answer:

Show the answers and working

What a probability means worksheet: Answers and working

Part A: Working out and filling in

  1. 1. 512

    P(A) + P(not A) = 1, so P(not A) = 1 − 712 = 512.

  2. 2. 528

    Experimental probability = times point up ÷ tosses = 5 ÷ 28 = 528.

  3. 3. 27

    P(A) + P(not A) = 1, so P(not A) = 1 − 57 = 27.

  4. 4. 311, 811

    15 ÷ 55 = 311; not rare 55 − 15 = 40 times, 40 ÷ 55 = 811. The two add to 1.

  5. 5. 18

    P(1) = 16, so the expected count = 108 × 16 = 18.

  6. 6. 36

    P(4) = 16, so the expected count = 216 × 16 = 36.

  7. 7. 14, 34

    28 ÷ 112 = 14; not rare 112 − 28 = 84 times, 84 ÷ 112 = 34. The two add to 1.

  8. 8. 310

    Exactly one of the three happens, so their probabilities add to 1: P(rainy) = 1 − 12 − 15 = 310.

  9. 9. 1324

    Exactly one of the three happens, so their probabilities add to 1: P(rainy) = 1 − 18 − 13 = 1324.

Part B: Choose, or true or false

  1. 10. A. 107

    A probability lies from 0 to 1 (both included), and 107 is more than 1.

  2. 11. True

    P(not A) = 1 − 18 = 78.

  3. 12. C. The experimental probability of heads is 1940; the theoretical one is still 12

    The experimental probability, 19 ÷ 40, comes from the tosses; the theoretical one, 12, from the coin being fair. With more tosses they usually get closer.

Part C: Word problems

Marking: 2 for the working, 1 for the answer, 1 for the sentence.

  1. 13. True

    The theoretical 16 means about 10 of 60; there were 12. Only more than 10 makes the experimental one larger.

  2. 14. 13, 160

    Experimental probability = 40 ÷ 120 = 13; expected number = 480 × 13 = 160.

  3. 15. 750, 16

    Experimental = 21 ÷ 150 = 750; a fair die's 6 outcomes are equally likely, so the theoretical one is 16. They needn't match.

  4. 16. 112 toys

    The experimental probability of a fault is 14100; 800 × 14100 = 112.

  5. 17. 910

    P(no rain) = 1 − 10% = 90% = 90100 = 910.

  6. 18. 22 toys

    The experimental probability of a fault is 11200; 400 × 11200 = 22.

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